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Whenever you make an old fashioned snail mail contribution to almost any charity, you get put on a list where you will receive several more requests for more money from that charity. Thank you gifts, membership renewal requests, emergency donation requests, and reminders that you haven't contributed in a while years later. Worse, many legitimate-seeming charities will sell your name on to other charities and you can get dozens. The larger the contribution the more further appeals you receive. It's just the way the fundraising business works.

This is a terrible waste of the charity's resources, the donor's time and attention, and the environment that has to be burdened with all that trash. The last one is particularly ironic in the case of environmental causes.

I believe I have a solution to this problem. Imagine there was a service you could send your donations to. You would specify what charity the donation was for, and they would collect all the donations to that charity that had come in every couple of months and send it on anonymously. The charity would pay a very small surcharge, which would be far less than what it costs them to send out all that follow-up spam.

The donor could easily set up a recurring donation, and in any case could opt in to a single annual statement listing the charities they had donated to.

The main question I have about this would be whether the tax laws would allow it. I have heard that a 501(c)3 can make donations to other 501(c)3 organizations. This would allow the donor to retain the tax benefits and make it easy to account for them with the IRS. Even if the aggregator were a 501(c)4, the current tax law means there is no benefit for most taxpayers to donate to a 501(c)3, but I suspect that if the aggregator had to operate as a regular company it wouldn't work financially.

I would be interested to have someone with more knowledge than I comment on how far this could fly legally. Ideally such a person would be a lawyer, but I'm in no position to pay a lawyer for official legal advice.
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I have some big problems in my life. What they are isn't the point of this post; I'm looking at how I deal with problems. The least functional way I have of dealing with a problem is to metaphorically hide under the bed. The problem is too big to have any solution I can see. Thinking about it is distressing. So I just ignore it and pay attention to other things.

In a slightly more functional mode, I see that the whole problem is too big, but there is one part of it that I can address, and then I focus on that part. That part is something I can work on. The problem is that I focus on that part, however trivial it is, and continue to ignore the rest of the problem. If the thought of the larger problem comes up, I tell myself I'm doing the small thing so I'm taking care of it.

This is only slightly more functional than completely ignoring the problem if the part I've chosen is trivial. To take an example from my own past, my house is perpetually horribly cluttered. When I was actively playing Magic: the Gathering, my magic cards were a significant part of the clutter. I would direct the energy for dealing with the clutter into obsessively sorting cards while the rest of the clutter continued to build up.

The reason I bring this up, the real point of this post, is that I had an insight that as a society we are caught up in the same trap. For an example, consider the cold war. The problem that the world could be blown up in a nuclear war was too big to deal with, so there was a lot of hiding under the bed. However, there was also a lot of energy put into trivial gestures. School children were taught duck and cover drills and shelters were designated and stocked with emergency food rations. Doing these things helped people to feel that they were doing something, but if one considers an actual nuclear war, one realizes that these things wouldn't really make any difference.

More relevant to our situation today is the problem of how we're destroying our environment. We realize, when we bring ourselves to think of it, the extent of damage we're constantly doing to our planet, but we don't see how we can really fix it. But we've hit on recycling. "I'm recycling my plastic bottles," we say, "so I'm helping. I'm doing my bit." I can't argue that recycling in itself has no value at all, but it has much less value than we give it credit for. Many of those plastic bottles we virtuously put in the recycling bin end up in the landfill anyway, very few of them become more plastic bottles, and even when they do the process uses a lot of resources along the way. It would be better to not buy a one use bottle at all. It would be better than that to get our municipal water systems to the point where nobody felt they needed single use water bottles.
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It's National SAD Day, the day we switch to Daylight Wasting Time. Because nothing says "we love you" to people with Seasonal Affective Disorder like throwing away an hour of daylight just when the axial tilt is making it so precious.
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It sickens me how much airtime the media spends on "this is so and so who just lost their home and/or their loved ones in the latest disaster, can you please tell us how you feel while can barely keep yourself from crying uncontrollably" garbage. This isn't journalism it's sleazy tabloid garbage exploiting the victims for the sake of emotionally titillating the audience. Disasters are a worthy subject, but what should be covered is explaining what really happened, and more importantly how likely it is to happen again, what we should do to mitigate the risk, and what the economic and political barriers are to doing it.

I knew days ahead of time that Harvey was going to be an epic disaster not because of hurricane winds but because of flooding, based on things that I caught because I know stuff and I was paying attention when they quickly glossed over it. Then after the storm hit, they're incessantly harping on how this was totally unexpected, why didn't we know this was going to happen. We did know it was going to happen, but the media didn't think it was important enough to stress and the country didn't notice.

I knew months ago that we were going to have terrible fires in California, the whole state is tinder dry. I want to hear details on what the local terrain is like to support such an intense fire, and what could be done to make the towns less vulnerable when the countryside goes up in smoke. I don't want to hear how much it sucks to have your house burn down and how terrible it is to come back from the evacuation and see it over and over and over again.
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I spend a lot of time thinking about what's wrong with our economy and what might be done to fix it. Of course, the rich and powerful would never allow things to upset their happy apple cart, so pretty much the only way they could happen would be if they put me in charge.

I dashed off some of my thoughts in a chat group I'm in and I thought I'd record them here, for my own interest if nothing more.

stuff in here )
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I'm going to post something here that may get me yelled it, but it's something I believe.

This was inspired by a story I just heard on the radio about how some kids in Hannibal, MO got lost in a cave and were never found. It described how they went off on their own and no one was concerned until they didn't come home for dinner, and how that would never happen today. It would be considered child neglect.

long and somewhat incendiary comment inside )
tigertoy: (Default)
I have a philosophical question that I'd like to pose as a hypothetical. This is strictly a thought experiment and it's not intended to refer to any real person and certainly not to any identifiable group of real Americans.

Suppose there is an able bodied person. They have no physical limitations and no diagnosable mental health issues. They have no kids. They don't do unpaid work (such as assisting family or volunteering). They are simply unwilling to work in any way.

What obligation does society have to that person? Is it ethically appropriate to leave them to starve in the gutter? If not, what level of support must society provide? If the answer is "it depends", how would you define what it depends on how the obligation varies with that?

In particular, what is the obligation in a prosperous modern Western democracy?

Outliers

May. 14th, 2017 07:27 pm
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I was listening to the radio this morning and there was some discussion about the connection between facts and truth. The person on the radio contended that while facts can be checked and verified and reasonably be shown to be correct, but truth is more subjective and hard to pin down. This inspired a train of thought.

I believe in science as a way of understanding the world. Science approaches a problem by forming a hypothesis and collecting facts to see how well it fits. If most of the facts align, the hypothesis is strenthened. If there are facts that don't fit and there's a pattern to those facts, it points to a way to refine the hypothsis, or possibly even throw it out and start over. But in most sets of data, there are a few outliers -- measurements that are way outside the range of most of the data. If the data can be graphed on a scatter plot, there's a very heavy concentration of points along the expected line, but there are just a few apparently randomly around the graph. If there are few enough outliers, we consider the hypothesis valid despite these outliers.

In politics, on the other hand, we focus much more on the outliers rather than going with the general trend. If a debater can present a single fact that disagrees with an opponent's point of view, and that fact is verified, it's considered a valid argument (at least to one side of the question). There is little attempt to see the general pattern and ignore the outliers.

This problem is very much driven by the way the media work. Ordinary events -- those in the main blob of data points on the scatter plot -- aren't newsworthy because they're common. Outliers, because they are novel, receive far more attention than they generally deserve; and this tends to reinforce extreme viewpoints by reinforcing them with outlier examples. For example, consider how many people worry about how dangerous air travel is but never pay attention to how dangerous car travel is. This happens because plane crashes are so rare that every one is going to get media attention, while car crashes are so common that they're hardly ever mentioned.

Truth is somewhat subjective and squishy, but a reasonable view of the truth should be formed by considering the ordinary majority of the facts rather than concentrating on the outliers.

Gun Control

May. 8th, 2017 12:11 pm
tigertoy: (Default)
When you are holding a gun, everything looks like a target. Responsible gun ownership means recognizing this tendency and controlling it.

I mean this seriously, not humorously. I do not mean no one should have guns. Everyone I know who has guns is responsible by this metric. Responsible owners are still human and can make mistakes, but I assert that most of the gun crime we hear about is caused by irresponsible owners who should not have guns. The real issue of gun control is how to keep the irresponsible from having guns without taking away the rights of the responsible.
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I do not normally read The Oatmeal, but a friend pointed me to this strip. I find it thought provoking and worth reading. Be warned that it is very long, despite being called a comic, and (as the first part imprecates) you need to read the whole thing.
tigertoy: (Default)
So, after months, no, years of increasingly vitriolic rhetoric and weeks of a feeling of impending doom, the Supreme Court finally ruled on the Affordable Care Act.  I've never been very enthusiastic about the ACA; instead of really fixing the health care problem by really breaking the health insurance money machine in favor of a public system, the Democrats adopted a pure Republican plan, apparently assuming that they would get Republican support.  The Republicans, of course, being far more concerned with opposing anything Democrats try to accomplish, immediately decided that their basic concept of health care reform was horrible, un-American, and evil.  But as poor as the ACA is, it is the biggest improvement in the mess we call a health care system in my lifetime.

I find that the main points of the ruling -- that the Commerce Clause does not give Congress the power to mandate that individuals purchase a product, but that the power to tax does give them the authority to impose a tax on people who don't -- to be about the best solution that could be found in this mess.  I do think the individual mandate is quite a stretch of the Commerce Clause, but I do think it passes muster under the taxing authority.  I would be happier about it if the politicians had just called it a tax from the beginning -- but then, I believe that we do have to have taxes, and that it is not only allowable, but fundamentally absolutely essential, for taxes to be used with intent to encourage behavior that benefits society as a whole.

I have to praise Chief Justice Roberts for a decision that I actually think is right, in spite of the expectations of the right wing.  I'm concerned about the commentary that says that he did it to protect the integrity of the Court, rather than to make the right decision in this case -- if the Court does not make right decisions, it has no integrity to protect.
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A mailing list I'm on linked to a story on the power of corporate data mining that anyone who isn't already worried about privacy issues really ought to pay attention to.  It seems that through statistical analysis of the stuff we buy, Target can identify when women are pregnant with a pretty high rate of success.  And, it seems, identifying pregnant women is very commercially important, because mothers spend a whole lot of money and they will often keep spending it at one particular store once they start.  So, having sniffed out that they're probably pregnant, they bombard them with ads for maternity related stuff.  In this particular case, they mailed ads to a teenage girl for maternity clothes and such.  Her father thought this was highly inappropriate and complained -- only to learn that her daughter was, in fact, pregnant.  This behavior seems to exceed many people's creepy threshold.  Target recognizes this, they say if people recognize they're being profiled for something like this, it turns them off -- so they have made the program more stealthy: they combine the ads for cribs and maternity clothes with other unrelated ads, so it doesn't look so specific.  I find deliberately trying to disguise the privacy invasion even creepier than the invasion itself.

If you are one of the many complacent people out there who think that data mining to target ads is OK, you really should think about what else could be done with that information, because once it's out there, corporations WILL sell it to whoever will pay for it.  (Just to be clear, I am not accusing Target specifically of selling this information.  But if Target can do it, any big company can, and if any big company can, one will, and pretty soon they all will.)  People could do all sorts of things with a list of women who are pregnant.  Just think how much fun an unethical information broker could have selling the list to people on both sides of the abortion debate.  (Even scarier: correlate the list of women who were pregnant a year ago with the list of those who don't have infants today to form a list of women who got abortions.  If I need to explain how that could go badly, I think I'm wasting my time.)  But maybe you're not in the demographic likely to become pregnant.  It's worth considering that if they can figure out that women are pregnant by analyzing their purchases, they could probably figure out a lot of other things.  Like if they're having an affair, or they're gay, or what political party they favor.  And people you would rather not know whatever it is you'd rather not know about you can go buy a list with your name on it.

The real point that I want to make in this post is that we face a fundamental societal problem.  Given that this computer technology exists, the records are going to be there, and if there is a way to make money from it, the records will be mined and people will be identified.  I'm not trying to say computers are evil and we should stop using them; to begin with, I don't believe it, but much more importantly, it isn't going to happen, and trying to say that it should is a stupid waste of energy.  What I'm trying to get at is that we need to place fundamental limits, not on what information is stored, but on how it can be used.  Personal information -- where we go, how we spend their money, and the like -- fundamentally belongs to us, not to the corporation that happens to collect it.  We need to collectively assert that corporations don't have a right to make money off of our information without our explicit permission, and that if they do, the money they make from it is fundamentally stolen and we have a right to collect it.
tigertoy: (Default)
Seanan says so, and that's plenty good enough for me!

So I say to those who read this: Happy Valentine's Day to each and every
one of you, and if you don't celebrate Valentine's Day, happy Horny
Werewolf Day.
tigertoy: (Default)
I've turned my clocks back while brooding over the end of daylight saving time.  This time of year is plenty depressing already without the additional whammy of moving the darkness an hour forward.

I always need more support from my friends to make it through this time of year.  If you'll be friendly to me, I'll make an extra effort to return the favor.
tigertoy: (Default)
Today's XKCD is an amusing poke at the quirks of us humans.  But one of the best things about XKCD is the mouse overs -- they're often better than the comic itself.  Today's is that way with a twist -- the alt text isn't funny, it's true and I wholeheartedly agree.

"I just noticed CVS has started stocking homeopathic pills on the same shelves with--and labeled similarly to--their actual medicine. Telling someone who trusts you that you're giving them medicine, when you know you’re not, because you want their money, isn’t just lying--it’s like an example you’d make up if you had to illustrate for a child why lying is wrong."
tigertoy: (Default)
The little plastic squares more often found on bread are the best way to hold the plastic wrap on a head of lettuce.  But if you have to use clear sticky tape, could you please use a shorter piece of it so that it's not so darn hard to peel off to get to the lettuce?
tigertoy: (Default)
[livejournal.com profile] filkertom has a discussion on his LJ about a new evil corporate tactic being tried by some doctors.  I made this comment there, which I'd like to preserve for my own amusement.

I'm not a lawyer, but I've spent a few decades watching the impenetrable antics of the legal system.  In general, I see that the courts can find a way to argue that any proposition, no matter how perverse it may seem to some of us, is unassailably anchored in the Constitution, precedent, and existing law.  It comes down to what they want the law to be.  This is why we make such a fuss about who gets to be judges, even though if the system worked the way we tell our children in school that it's supposed to, it wouldn't matter that much.

From a liberal prospective, individual rights matter, and a contract that gives up indefinite rights is repugnant and in some cases invalid on its face.

From a libertarian prospective, contracts matter, and any contract entered into legitimately is valid and supersedes the rules that would otherwise apply.

From a conservative* prospective, the rights of the rich matter, so a case would tend to come down to whether the individual getting bad treatment has more money than the medical establishment.

How the dispute is settled depends on which prospective is in control.

*The original definition of conservative is seeking to conserve the rights of the aristocracy.  We don't have a hereditary aristocracy in America, but we do have a privileged rich class which is functionally equivalent, and if we try to explain what conservative means today in terms of advancing the interests of that rich class, we get a very good match of what they actually do -- certainly better than the definitions they tend to espouse in their propaganda.

The Closet

Oct. 7th, 2010 03:56 pm
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I caught a few minutes last night of someone ranting about the Tyler Clementi case.  What they seemed to be saying is that we, the people who are sickened by the whole situation, should be upset that the kids who posted the video might not be getting punished enough; that we have an obligation to change our society to come down harder after the fact on "bullying" and "hate crimes".

It makes me sad that people are saying that the problem in society is that we don't hate the haters enough.  If we seek to change society so that these things don't happen again, wouldn't it make more sense to change society so that Tyler didn't have to be ashamed of who he was and who he loved in the first place?  It strikes me that by crying for stronger privacy protections, we're trying to shore up the walls of the closet so nobody can break in.  We're saying "stay in here and keep your head down, and if anyone blows your cover we'll smack them for you."

Aren't we supposed to be working for a world where nobody needs to be in the closet in the first place because there's nothing wrong with being gay?
tigertoy: (Default)
In reaction to the froofraw about That Idiot In Florida, the wise and wonderful [livejournal.com profile] catsittingstill proposed that we mark today by posting in favor of religious tolerance.  TIIF seems to have backed down and will hopefully start receiving the attention he deserves (that would be absolutely none, for those of you who've watched too much television), but it still seems like a topic worth discussing.

I have personally struggled with my feelings about religion for all of my life as far back as I can remember having any sort of philosophical thoughts.  My mother came from a fundamentalist family, a faith that practices adult baptism -- they believe you have to be old enough to actually choose to join the religion for it to count -- and by the time she was old enough, she had decided she did not believe.  My father was raised Episcopalian, but he wasn't very devout.  When I was pretty young, he converted to Catholicism, and for a few years he went through the motions of being devout.  I was old enough to have an ingrained habit of not wanting to go to church when he decided that he'd like me to go with him.  My father was not a violent, forceful man who would drag me, especially since my mother would have taken my side.  Instead, he bribed me; if I would go to church with him (and behave reasonably well), he would give me some money -- rather more than my regular allowance at that time.  So I went, even though it made me uncomfortable.  I don't recall my thoughts in detail, but I know that I felt something wrong about pretending to believe when I didn't.  I can't recall just how long this went on, but after some amount of time, I decided it wasn't worth it and I stopped going.  After that, I might have been pressured into attending a holiday service or two, but otherwise, I've not been to a church service other than a wedding or a funeral.

During that period where I was attending Mass, I did absorb some of the doctrine and ritual, and just going through my life paying attention to stuff in the background, I've learned some things about the Bible and Christianity, but I haven't studied them in detail, either academically or religiously.  Most of the exposure I get to religion is what gets echoed back to me through the media, and most of that is the bad stuff.  I developed some strong feelings -- let's not mince words, I developed a blind, foaming hatred -- of fundamentalists and of preachers and politicians who use religion to whip up their supporters so they gain personal power.  Those feelings were so strong that I'd decided that organized religion was itself an evil that society should seek to root out.  My motto was that religion should be strictly limited to being practiced in private among consenting adults.

More recently, my thinking has become more complex.  I haven't exactly mellowed out; I can still get screaming mad when I hear a news story about people ruining other people's lives in the name of religious beliefs, whether it be a doctor in Afghanistan shot by Taliban who claim he was trying to convert people to Christianity, or a teacher in the US fired for not being anti-gay enough.  But I've also come to some realization that most people who are religious are basically good people, they believe a lot of the same things I do, and that their religion helps them.  I still see some strains of religion that seek to wipe out all trace of rational thought in their followers in place of blind obedience to the holy message, and some believers who hate the burden of thinking so much that they want to go along with it.  But there are a lot more people who are reasonable about it; who believe in a religion, but are still capable of looking at an individual situation thoughtfully and compassionately.

I got about this far writing and realized that I've lost track of what I was trying to say.  That happens to me a lot.  Where were we again?  Oh, right.  Religious tolerance.  I've spent a lot of my life having little tolerance for religion myself, but I'm learning better.  I hope we can all learn to recognize that most religions are much more complex and worthy than the evil caricatures we see sensationalized in the media, that most people, whatever religion they may practice, have both good and bad in them, and that we can all be better people and have better lives if we stop feeling the need to hate everyone who's different.
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I was just listening to the BBC while driving back from an appointment, and I was profoundly struck by the irony of the juxtaposition of stories.

The first story was in response to BP's report that came out today of their own internal investigation, which is trying to put a good spin on the oil spill and to say how they're not the only ones to blame.  The story went into some depth about how it was a complicated chain of failures, not just one single mistake.

The second story was about how the head of Ryan Air wants to make air travel even cheaper by getting rid of copilots, because it's such a great way to save money.

I wonder if it's really a coincidence, or if some smart guy at the BBC was actually intentionally making a point of making Mr. Ryan Air look like a sleaze.

If you don't want to have major accidents like oil well blowouts or airliner crashes, you have to pay extra money as you go along for redundant systems and safety procedures.  Most of the time, those redundant systems will just be sitting there, and those safety procedures will make the job take longer.  But if you, running the company, decide to make this quarter's profits look better, you, your own personal self, are creating the disaster when it happens.  Are you, Mr. Ryan Air, going to walk out in front of the firing squad, refuse the blindfold, and yell a demand to the soldiers to aim carefully, after one of your copilotless planes goes down because the pilot had a stroke?  No?  Then shut the fuck up about how copilots are an unnecessary expense.

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